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Drought Status Update for the Northeast

2023-05-02 05:37| 来源: 网络整理| 查看: 265

Current Conditions Animation: U.S. Drought Monitor Change from February 28–April 25 Animation showing the progression of abnormal dryness (D0) and drought from February 28–April 25, 2023, according to the U.S. Drought Monitor. Source: Drought.gov Historical Conditions Tool. Accumulated Precipitation Departure from Normal Water year departure from normal precipitation (inches) for Portland Area, ME (blue), Boston Area, MA (black), Providence Area, RI (green), Bridgeport Area, CT (orange), New York Central Park Area, NY (purple), and Islip Area, NY (red). Source: ACIS. Water Year 2023 Snowfall Departure (Inches) Snowfall departure from normal (in inches) since the start of the water year (October 1, 2022–April 26, 2023).  Access New York and New England Snow Survey data. Source: Northeast Regional Climate Center.  Accumulated Snowfall Departure from Normal Departure from normal snowfall (inches) for Portland Area, ME (blue), Boston Area, MA (black), Providence Area, RI (green), Bridgeport Area, CT (orange), New York Central Park Area, NY (purple), and Syracuse Area, NY (red). Source: ACIS. State-Reported Conditions and Impacts Connecticut Connecticut Drought Information Center Impacts: April 14, 2023: The Bulletin – Brush Fires In Eastern Connecticut April 11, 2023: New Haven Register – Red Flag Warnings Maine Maine Drought Task Force Impacts: April 19, 2023: Bangor Daily News – Good Start To The Growing Season Massachusetts Massachusetts Drought Management Task Force Impacts: April 21, 2023: WBUR – Silvopasture Helps With Drought April 18, 2023: Daily Times Chronicle – Winchester Water And Sewer Rate Hikes Related To Drought April 14, 2023: The Shoestring – A Big Red Flag April 5, 2023: HomeNewsHere.com – Water Infrastructure Project Funding New Hampshire New Hampshire Department of Environmental Services: Drought Impacts: April 19, 2023: Conway Daily Sun – Managing Your Backyard Habitat April 11, 2023: Public Radio NHPR – Fire Weather Conditions New York New York State Department of Environmental Conservation (DEC): Drought Impacts: April 20, 2023: Genesee Valley PennySaver – Water Conservation April 18, 2023: Department of Environmental Conservation – Prescribed and Wildfires  April 9, 2023: Westside News – Grants Help Farmers With Resiliency April 4, 2023: New York State Department of Environmental Conservation – Fire Efforts in Albany and Suffolk Counties Rhode Island Rhode Island Water Resources Board: Drought Management Program Impacts: April 18, 2023: WPRI-12 – DEM: Exeter brush fire was RI’s largest since 1942 | WPRI.com April 13, 2023: The Providence Journal – West Greenwich wildfire burns 200 acres Vermont Vermont Agency of Natural Resources, Department of Environmental Conservation: Drought and Other Hazards Impacts: April 5, 2023: Caledonian Record – Water Infrastructure Improvements Hedge Against Drought Vulnerability Northeast

Volunteers are needed to measure precipitation! CoCoRaHS (the Community Collaborative Rain, Hail, and Snow Network) is a non-profit, community-based network of volunteer weather observers of all ages and backgrounds who measure and report precipitation. These data help improve the accuracy of weather forecasts, contribute to real-time drought and flood monitoring, are used in research applications, and so much more. Ready to help? Go to www.cocorahs.org and click the “Join CoCoRaHS” button in the upper right corner. 

Find additional impacts through the National Drought Mitigation Center’s Drought Impact Reporter. 

Visit the new Drought.gov state pages for additional maps and resources. Or, find local drought information by address, city or zip code on Drought.gov. 

Outlooks 8–14 Day Temperature and Precipitation Outlooks

For May 4–10, below-normal temperatures will be helpful in terms of holding off evapotranspiration across the region for the next two weeks. Expected near-normal precipitation across the region may pause the drying trend for the next two weeks.

8–14 day temperature outlook, showing the probability (percent chance) of above-, below-, or near-normal temperatures across the Northeast from May 4–10, 2023. Odds favor below-normal temperatures across most of the Northeast. Source: Climate Prediction Center via the Northeast DEWS Dashboard.8–14 day precipitation outlook, showing the probability (percent chance) of above-, below-, or near-normal temperatures across the Northeast from May 4–10, 2023. There are equal chances of above- or below-normal precipitation across most of the region. Source: Climate Prediction Center via the Northeast DEWS Dashboard.Week 3–4 Temperature and Precipitation Outlooks

Outlooks for May 6–19 show increased chances for above-normal temperatures for Maine, Rhode Island, eastern New Hampshire and Massachusetts. The rest of the region has equal chances for seasonal temperatures and this will be helpful with limiting drought potential for most of Connecticut and New York.

There are equal chances for below-normal or above-normal precipitation, across the region, during this period. Adequate precipitation for the start of the growing season is in question.

Week 3–4 temperature outlook, showing the probability (percent chance) of above- or below-normal temperatures across the U.S. from May 6–19. Issued April 21, 2023. Source: Climate Prediction Center.Week 3–4 precipitation outlook, showing the probability (percent chance) of above- or below-normal precipitation across the U.S. from May 6–19. Issued April 21, 2023. Source: Climate Prediction Center.U.S. Seasonal Drought Outlook: April 20–July 31, 2023

The seasonal drought outlook is encouraging for the Northeast DEWS, with indications for improvements in the areas that are dry this week. This outlook runs through the end of July, when we begin to experience our warmest temperatures and drought concerns typically return with increased water demands. Combined with the awareness that we have just experienced winter season snowfall deficits in central New York and southern New England, the next seasonal outlook updates should be watched closely.

Seasonal (3-month) drought outlook, showing where drought is predicted to persist, improve, be removed, or develop from April 20–July 31, 2023. Areas of drought in the Northeast are expected to be removed. Source: NOAA Climate Prediction Center, via Drought.gov. Special Announcement NIDIS Launches Improved and Expanded State Pages

Just in time to monitor changing conditions in the spring and summer months, the U.S. Drought Portal now offers new and improved state pages. The NIDIS team wishes to thank all those who have assisted with the updated content and provided additional suggestions for improvements and new datasets.  

Please check out your new state pages and share your feedback for further enhancements:

Connecticut Maine Massachusetts New Hampshire New York Rhode Island Vermont What We Are Watching Mid-Atlantic conditions: April 19, 2023: Asbury Park Press – New Jersey Wildfires April 19, 2023: New Jersey Monitor – Dry Winter Leads To A Busy WIldfire Season April 5, 2023: WHYY – Threats To Philly’s Drinking Water Wissahickon Creek in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, April 22, 2023. This photo is an example of spring green-up and below-normal streamflow from just south of the Northeast DEWS. Photo credit: Natalie Umphlett, Northeast Regional Climate Center.USDA National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS) Crop Progress and Condition Progress Reports for New York and New England. Issued April 24. New Jersey Forest Fire Service Extreme Heat in New York State Webinars Recent research: Opinion article in Trends in Microbiology: Microbial drought resistance may destablize soil carbon.  Research article in Earth, Atmospheric, and Planetary Sciences: Twenty-first century hydroclimate: A continually changing baseline, with more frequent extremes. Research article in the Journal of American Water Resources Association: Drivers of future streamflow changes in watersheds across the Northeastern United States. Featured Resources Drought newsletters: Dry Times is the National Integrated Drought Information System's national bi-weekly email newsletter. Get caught up on timely drought news, research, and events. Dry Horizons is a monthly publication from the University of Nebraska’s National Drought Mitigation Center (NDMC). Cybersecurity and Infrastructure Security Agency (CISA) Drought and Infrastructure: A Planning Guide. Or, read a 1-page overview. In case you missed it: 2022 Drought Remembrance - from the USGS Report Register for the National Coordinated Soil Moisture Monitoring Network’s next quarterly webinar on May 25, 2023: USDA Perspectives on Monitoring and Assessing Drought Impacts and Fire Risk. The 2023 National Soil Moisture Workshop will be held on August 14–17, 2023 in Beltsville, MD. Register and learn more. Additional Resources Look back at previous Northeast DEWS Drought Status Updates Your local National Weather Service office NOAA Regional Climate Services Monthly Webinar Series (next webinar is on May 25) USDA Northeast Climate Hub USGS New England and New York Water Science Centers Contacts for More Information

Sylvia Reeves Regional Drought Information Coordinator (Northeast DEWS) NOAA/CIRES/National Integrated Drought Information System (NIDIS) Email: [email protected]

Ellen L. Mecray Regional Climate Services Director, Eastern Region NOAA/NESDIS/National Centers for Environmental Information Email: [email protected]

Prepared By

Sylvia Reeves NOAA/National Integrated Drought Information System (NIDIS), CIRES

Samantha Borisoff, Jessica Spaccio, Keith Eggleston, Art DeGaetano, Natalie Umphlett Northeast Regional Climate Center

Ellen Mecray Regional Climate Services Director, Eastern Region, NOAA

Gardner Bent USGS New England Water Science Center

In partnership with National Weather Service Offices of the Northeast and State Climate Offices of the Northeast. 



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